by Michael Markowski | Dec 9, 2020 | alerts, Extra Cat, Markets/Economy
Most recent findings from researching the three prior Bullish Sentiment Anomaly (BSA) occurrences since 2017, indicate a 100% probability the following to occur by end of 2020: S&P 500 to decline by 11%. Call options which trade VIX, VXX and UVXY to increase by...
by Michael Markowski | Mar 24, 2020 | alerts, Crash of 2020, Crashes, Extra Cat, Markets/Economy, Uncategorized
The statistical crash probability analysis (SCPA) algorithm’s forecast for an interim market bottom to occur on March 23, 2020, was precisely accurate. It was the algo’s third consecutive precise major global markets call for March of 2020. The day after the...
by Michael Markowski | Jul 10, 2019 | alerts, Extra Cat, Secular Bulls/Bears
For the April 9, 2018 through June 30, 2019 period, the Bull & Bear Tracker (BBT) produced a gain of 32.2% versus the S&P 500’s 13.2%. Even though the BBT’s performance was impressive, there was room to improve the algorithm’s accuracy while reducing its...
by Michael Markowski | Dec 25, 2018 | alerts, Crashes, Extra Cat, Markets/Economy, Secular Bulls/Bears
The S&P 500 officially entered into a bear market after a December 24th record decline of 2.7%. Prior to December 24, 2018, there had never been a prior Christmas Eve decline of even 1%. The decline of 15% for December puts the month on pace to become the worst...
by Michael Markowski | Dec 10, 2018 | alerts, Extra Cat, Secular Bulls/Bears
Thursday December 6th may have been the final day in the life of the secular bull market. Based on the S&P 500’s price and volume on the December 6th close and the December 7th open as depicted in the chart below it appears that the bull market which began in...
by Michael Markowski | Nov 29, 2018 | alerts, Extra Cat, Markets/Economy
The S&P 500 rallied sharply yesterday on news that the Federal Reserve has become more dovish. However, the stock market was well positioned to begin a significant year-end rally anyway for these reasons: The S&P 500 successfully passed its retest of its...